Independent newsroom

Thursday, October 15, 2026

The File

Every claim traces to a primary source. Uncertainty is labeled. Corrections are public.

Desk

Economy

Compiled Thursday, October 15, 2026, Eastern Time.

Upcoming

Wednesday, September 9 – Wednesday, November 4, 2026

No clock time stated

Treasury nominal long-end (larger size takes effect)

Confirmed

Treasury buys its own longer bonds to support market liquidity. This release raises the per-operation maximum from $2 billion to at least $4 billion starting Sept. 9. Larger

take effect today.

Agency

U.S. Department of the Treasury

Tuesday–Friday, October 13–16, 2026

No clock time stated

Mid-Atlantic grid emergency order

Confirmed

In effect Oct. 13 through Oct. 16.

tells PJM to run specified plants as needed, under .

Agency

Energy Department

Thursday, October 15, 2026

8:30 a.m. ETBLS October 2026 schedule, opened Oct. 15, 2026

Producer Price Index

September 2026

Confirmed

Upcoming today. September Producer Price Index, Thursday, Oct. 15, 8:30 a.m. Eastern. The October schedule still lists that clock. No figure. This edition locks before 8:30 a.m.

Agency

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Thursday, October 15, 2026

11:30 p.m. ETFederal Reserve October 2026 events page

Chairman Warsh conversation with the IMF managing director

Bangkok

Confirmed

Upcoming. Chairman Kevin Warsh, a fireside chat with International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva, in Bangkok, Thursday, Oct. 15, 11:30 p.m. Eastern. Not a rate decision.

Agency

Federal Reserve

Friday, October 16, 2026

8:30 a.m. ETBLS release calendar, checked Oct. 12, 2026

U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

September 2026

Confirmed

Upcoming. September Import and Export Price Indexes, Friday, Oct. 16, 8:30 a.m. Eastern. No figure until the bureau posts.

Agency

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Tuesday–Wednesday, October 27–28, 2026

2:00 p.m. and 2:30 p.m. ET on October 28Federal Reserve October 2026 events page

Next rate decision

Next time the Fed could change rates (FOMC, Oct. 27–28)

Confirmed

This is the next time the Fed could change rates. Oct. 27–28. Statement listed at 2:00 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 28; press conference at 2:30 p.m. No Summary of Economic Projections at this sitting. This desk does not forecast a hike, a cut, or a hold.

Scheduled. No figure until the agency posts.

Agency

Federal Reserve

Past prints

Open chart

Latest in series: September 2026 3.75 to 4.00 percent. DFEDTARU

Thursday, October 29, 2026

8:30 a.m.BEA news schedule (timezone not labeled)

Gross Domestic Product, advance estimate

3rd quarter 2026

Upcoming. Advance estimate of third-quarter gross domestic product, Thursday, Oct. 29, 8:30 a.m. on the Bureau of Economic Analysis schedule. Re-checked Oct. 15. No figure until the agency posts.

Scheduled. No figure until the agency posts.

Agency

Bureau of Economic Analysis

Past prints

Open chart

Latest in series: Q2 2026 +2.2 percent annual rate. A191RL1Q225SBEA

Thursday, October 29, 2026

8:30 a.m.BEA news schedule (timezone not labeled)

Personal Income and Outlays (includes consumer spending prices)

September 2026

Upcoming. Personal Income and Outlays for September, Thursday, Oct. 29, 8:30 a.m. on the Bureau of Economic Analysis schedule. Re-checked Oct. 15. No figure until the agency posts.

Scheduled. No figure until the agency posts.

Agency

Bureau of Economic Analysis

Past prints

Open chart

Latest in series: August 2026 +3.4 percent over 12 months. PCEPI

Friday, October 30, 2026

8:30 a.m. ETBLS October 2026 schedule, opened Oct. 15, 2026

Employment Cost Index

Third quarter 2026

Confirmed

Upcoming. Employment Cost Index, third quarter 2026, Friday, Oct. 30, 8:30 a.m. Eastern. No figure until the bureau posts.

Agency

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Tuesday, November 3, 2026

10:00 a.m. ETNext-release line on BLS USDL-26-1547

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey

September 2026

Confirmed

Upcoming. The September survey is scheduled for Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern. No figure yet.

Agency

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Wednesday, November 4, 2026

8:30 a.m.August trade release, next-release line (timezone not labeled)

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services

September 2026

Confirmed

Upcoming. September goods-and-services trade, Wednesday, Nov. 4, 8:30 a.m. on the August release’s next-release line. No figure until the agency posts.

Agency

Bureau of Economic Analysis

Wednesday, November 4, 2026

No clock time stated

Comment deadline on the proposal

Confirmed

Upcoming. Comments on the proposal to modernize

are due Nov. 4. The Fed extended the deadline on Oct. 2. It had been Oct. 5. This is not the day the rule takes effect.

Agency

Federal Reserve

Tuesday, November 10, 2026

8:30 a.m. ETSeptember CPI release next-release line, USDL-26-1574

Consumer Price Index

October 2026

Confirmed

Upcoming. October Consumer Price Index, Tuesday, Nov. 10, 8:30 a.m. Eastern. No figure until the bureau posts.

Scheduled. No figure until the agency posts.

Agency

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Past prints

Open chart

Latest in series: September 2026 +3.7 percent over 12 months. CPIAUCNS

Tuesday–Wednesday, December 8–9, 2026

2:00 p.m. and 2:30 p.m. ET on December 9Federal Reserve December 2026 events page

Fed interest-rate decision (FOMC, SEP meeting)

Confirmed

Scheduled rate decision and Summary of Economic Projections sitting. Statement listed at 2:00 p.m. Eastern on Dec. 9; press conference at 2:30 p.m. This desk does not forecast a hike, a cut, or a hold.

Scheduled. No figure until the agency posts.

Agency

Federal Reserve

Past prints

Open chart

Latest in series: September 2026 3.75 to 4.00 percent. DFEDTARU

Friday, December 11, 2026

No clock time stated

continuing-resolution date (Senate-engrossed § 106)

Confirmed

, the , keeps the government funded at existing levels until the earliest of a full-year spending law or Dec. 11, 2026.

Official print

White House, Sept. 2, 2026: President signed

, , including a CR through December 11, 2026.

White House briefings, Sept. 2, 2026

Agency

Congress / White House

Friday, December 18, 2026

8:30 a.m. ESTBEA second-quarter release, next-release line

U.S. International Transactions and Investment Position

3rd quarter 2026

Confirmed

Upcoming. Third-quarter international transactions and investment position, Dec. 18, 2026, 8:30 a.m. EST, per the second-quarter release. No figure until the agency posts.

Agency

Bureau of Economic Analysis

Wednesday, April 7, 2027

12:01 a.m. ETICC General License 13

maintenance window ends

Confirmed

Upcoming. The maintenance window in

ends at 12:01 a.m. Eastern on Wednesday, April 7, 2027, unless it is adjusted.

Agency

Treasury Department

Wednesday, April 7, 2027

12:01 a.m. ETGeneral License 135

expires

Confirmed

Upcoming.

ends at 12:01 a.m. Eastern on Wednesday, April 7, 2027, unless it is extended.

Agency

Treasury Department

Rates, jobs, and prices

Three official monthly series, all in percent. The Fed funds line is the effective federal funds rate, a monthly average. Unemployment is the U-3 jobless rate. Inflation is the 12-month change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index.

05101519902000201020202026

The Federal Open Market Committee raised the federal funds target range to 3¾ to 4 percent on Sept. 16, effective Sept. 17. Officials’ median year-end 2026 midpoint in the Summary of Economic Projections is 4.1 percent. The monthly effective federal funds rate, FRED FEDFUNDS, averaged 3.75 percent in September. August was 3.63 percent. FRED’s series page says that observation was updated Oct. 1, 2026. FOMC statement · Projection tables

Average since 1990 (through September 2026):

  • Fed funds rate: 2.9 percent.
  • Unemployment rate: 5.6 percent.
  • Inflation (CPI, year over year): 2.7 percent.

That is the simple average of the monthly figures on the chart. It is not a forecast.

The Fed also watches personal-consumption prices (PCE), which are not on this chart. Figures are from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FEDFUNDS, UNRATE, CPIAUCSL). Updated Thursday, October 15, 2026. Not a forecast.

Past

These dates have passed in Eastern Time. A figure appears only when we have the agency release.

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

No clock time stated

Treasury proposes rules

Confirmed

Past as an announcement. Proposed rules for the

under the . Not final. The regulation text was not read.

Official print

Proposed rules announced Oct. 14. Not final. Regulation text not read.

Treasury release sb0658

Agency

Treasury Department

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

No clock time stated

Commerce amends the GlobalFoundries CHIPS award

Confirmed

Past. Commerce moved up to $955 million inside an existing GlobalFoundries award under the

. The total award does not increase. The statute was not opened.

Official print

Up to $955 million reallocated. Total award not increased. Capital investment in the named plants to $5 billion.

NIST release, Oct. 14, 2026

Agency

Commerce Department

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

10:55 p.m. ETFederal Reserve October 2026 events page

Vice Chair Bowman speech, Supervisory Modernization After Silicon Valley Bank

Bangkok Economic Festival 2026

Confirmed

Past. Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle W. Bowman spoke Wednesday, Oct. 14, at the Bangkok Economic Festival. The posted title is Supervisory Modernization After Silicon Valley Bank. The views are her own. Not a rate decision.

Official print

Speech posted Oct. 14. Views are her own. Not a rate decision.

Bowman speech, Oct. 14, 2026

Agency

Federal Reserve

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

2:00 p.m. ETFederal Reserve October 2026 events page

Beige Book

Confirmed

Past. Posted Wednesday, Oct. 14. Higher oil prices were in every district report. Hiring was little changed. Two districts reported moderate growth, three modest, four slight, and three no significant change. Not a rate decision.

Official print

Posted Oct. 14. Oil prices in every district. Hiring little changed. Growth: 2 moderate, 3 modest, 4 slight, 3 no significant change.

Beige Book, Oct. 14, 2026

Agency

Federal Reserve

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

8:30 a.m. ETBLS release calendar

Consumer Price Index

September 2026

Confirmed

Released. CPI-U +0.6 percent in September, seasonally adjusted, after +0.4 percent in August. +3.7 percent over 12 months, after +3.4 percent through August. Gasoline +9.1 percent in the month and accounted for over half of the monthly increase. Energy +5.2 percent in the month and +20.4 percent over the year. Shelter +0.4 percent in the month and +3.2 percent over the year. Food unchanged in the month and +2.5 percent over the year. Prices excluding food and energy +0.3 percent in the month and +2.6 percent over the year. Index 336.940 (1982–84=100).

Official print

CPI-U +0.6% in September SA after +0.4% in August; +3.7% over 12 months. Gasoline +9.1% and over half of the monthly increase. Energy +5.2% MoM / +20.4% YoY. Shelter +0.4% MoM / +3.2% YoY. Food unchanged MoM / +2.5% YoY. Ex-food-and-energy +0.3% / +2.6%. Index 336.940. Next CPI Nov. 10, 2026, 8:30 a.m. ET.

BLS Consumer Price Index — September 2026 (USDL-26-1574)

Agency

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Past prints

Open chart

Latest in series: September 2026 +3.7 percent over 12 months. CPIAUCNS

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

5:40 a.m. ETFederal Reserve October 2026 events page

Vice Chair Bowman discussion, IIF Annual Membership Summit

IIF Annual Membership Summit, Bangkok

Confirmed

Past. Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle W. Bowman, a discussion titled Supervision and Regulation at the IIF Annual Membership Summit in Bangkok, Wednesday, Oct. 14, 5:40 a.m. Eastern. No transcript was opened. This is not the evening speech. Not a rate decision.

Agency

Federal Reserve

Tuesday, October 13, 2026

No clock time stated

Fed statistical releases moved off Columbus Day

Confirmed

Past. Daily and weekly statistical releases that had been set for Monday moved to Tuesday, Oct. 13. No figure from those releases was opened.

Agency

Federal Reserve

Tuesday, October 13, 2026

No clock time stated

CFTC advance notice,

Confirmed

Upcoming. Tuesday, Oct. 13, is the Federal Register publication date for

. The notice body was not opened. No comment close date.

Agency

Commodity Futures Trading Commission

Tuesday, October 13, 2026

3:45 a.m. ETFederal Reserve October 2026 events page

Governor Waller discussion on artificial intelligence

Bloomberg New Economy Forum, New Delhi

Confirmed

Past. Governor Christopher J. Waller, a discussion on artificial intelligence at the Bloomberg New Economy Forum in New Delhi, Tuesday, Oct. 13, 3:45 a.m. Eastern. No transcript was opened. Not a rate decision.

Agency

Federal Reserve

Monday, October 12, 2026

No clock time stated

Columbus Day holiday

Confirmed

Monday, Oct. 12, is Columbus Day under

. Federal offices are closed. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases are off. The Fed says statistical releases scheduled that day move to Tuesday, Oct. 13. The bond market is recommended closed. The stock market is open.

Agency

Office of Personnel Management; Bureau of Labor Statistics; Federal Reserve

Saturday, October 10, 2026

No clock time stated

Treasury finding on the diesel tax delay, about Oct. 10 ()

Partially confirmed

The about-Oct. 10 date has passed. No finding under

was on Treasury’s press list as of Oct. 12. The newest item was still Oct. 9, “New Appointment.” Not seen as of Oct. 12. Not marked as issued.

Agency

Treasury Department

Friday, October 9, 2026

No clock time stated

Confirmed

Past.

lets Russian-origin diesel be bought and imported, including into the United States, through 12:01 a.m. Eastern on April 7, 2027. It comes four days after the Oct. 5 diesel order.

Official print

Issued Oct. 9. Russian-origin diesel authorized through 12:01 a.m. Eastern, April 7, 2027.

OFAC, Oct. 9, 2026

Agency

Treasury Department

Friday, October 9, 2026

No clock time stated

Fourteen states sue over canceled unemployment-system grants

Confirmed

Past. Fourteen states sued in the

over canceled grants for unemployment systems. The complaint was not opened.

Official print

Filing announced Oct. 9. Complaint not opened.

New York Attorney General, Oct. 9, 2026

Agency

New York Attorney General

Friday, October 9, 2026

10:00 a.m. ETFederal Reserve release, for release at 10:00 a.m. EDT

2025 Survey of Consumer Finances

Confirmed

Past. The 2025 Survey of Consumer Finances. Median family income rose 7 percent, after inflation, to $82,200. The share of families spending more than 40 percent of income on debt payments rose to 8.6 percent.

Official print

Median income $82,200, up 7 percent from 2022 after inflation. Families with debt payments above 40 percent of income: 8.6 percent.

Federal Reserve, Oct. 9, 2026

Agency

Federal Reserve

Thursday, October 8, 2026

4:30 p.m. ETFederal Reserve and Comptroller releases, 4:30 p.m. Eastern

American Express money-laundering orders

Confirmed

Past. A

and a $350 million penalty against American Express National Bank under the , and a separate Federal Reserve against the parent company. No one is charged.

Official print

Comptroller:

and $350 million penalty. Fed: consent , Docket 26-052-B-HC. No criminal charge.

Comptroller release 2026-87

Agency

Federal Reserve and Office of the Comptroller of the Currency

Thursday, October 8, 2026

4:30 a.m. ETSpeech posted 4:30 a.m. Eastern, Oct. 8, 2026

The Signaling Value of the Summary of Economic Projections

Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye, İstanbul Economic Forum

Confirmed

Past. Governor Christopher J. Waller’s posted speech is The Signaling Value of the Summary of Economic Projections. He said he expects more increases if the numbers hold. This is a speech, not a rate decision.

Official print

Posted: The Signaling Value of the Summary of Economic Projections. He expects more increases if the data hold.

Waller speech, Oct. 8, 2026

Agency

Federal Reserve

Wednesday, October 7, 2026

No clock time stated

First penalty under the

Confirmed

Past. Treasury’s first penalty under the

: $200,000 against Amidi, LLC. The , per Treasury, expands that program.

Official print

First

penalty: $200,000, Amidi, LLC.

Treasury, Oct. 7, 2026

Agency

U.S. Department of the Treasury

Wednesday, October 7, 2026

3:00 p.m. ETFederal Reserve October 2026 events page

G.19 Consumer Credit

August 2026

Confirmed

Past. August consumer credit grew at a 1.9 percent annual rate. Revolving credit fell at 4.2 percent. Nonrevolving credit rose at 4.1 percent. Outstanding credit was $5,196.8 billion.

Official print

August consumer credit +1.9% annual rate; revolving −4.2%; nonrevolving +4.1%. Outstanding $5,196.8 billion.

G.19, Oct. 7, 2026

Agency

Federal Reserve

Wednesday, October 7, 2026

2:00 p.m. ETFederal Reserve October 2026 events page

FOMC minutes, Sept. 15–16 meeting

September 15–16, 2026 meeting

Confirmed

Past. Minutes posted Wednesday, Oct. 7, at 2:00 p.m. Eastern. All participants backed the September increase. Most saw another increase as likely appropriate by year end.

Official print

All participants backed the September hike; most saw another increase as likely appropriate by year end.

FOMC minutes, Oct. 7, 2026

Agency

Federal Reserve

Tuesday, October 6, 2026

10:45 a.m. ETFederal Reserve October 2026 events page

Michelle W. Bowman, Modernizing the Regulatory and Supervisory Landscape

St. Louis, Missouri

Confirmed

Past. Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle W. Bowman said the Fed is starting to regroup bank examiners into five regions along state lines. The posted title is “Modernizing the Regulatory and Supervisory Landscape.” This was a speech. No Board vote and no start date are in the text.

Official print

Speech posted. Five-region supervision realignment announced. No Board vote and no start date in the text.

Bowman speech, Oct. 6, 2026

Agency

Federal Reserve

Tuesday, October 6, 2026

8:30 a.m.BEA news schedule (timezone not labeled)

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services

August 2026

Confirmed

Past. August goods-and-services deficit $105.6 billion, up $12.7 billion from a revised $92.8 billion in July. Exports $315.2 billion. Imports $420.8 billion. Goods deficit $136.6 billion. Services surplus $31.0 billion. For the year so far, the deficit is down 19.9 percent from 2025.

Official print

Deficit $105.6 billion. Exports $315.2 billion. Imports $420.8 billion. July revised to $92.8 billion.

BEA 26—44 / CB 26—160, Oct. 6, 2026

Agency

Bureau of Economic Analysis

Monday, October 5, 2026

No clock time stated

Sanctions-list removals and Iran bank warning

Confirmed

Past. Treasury removed 125 listings and updated 22, mostly old Iraq and drug-trafficking entries it described as dead people, closed companies, or thin records. The same day OFAC warned foreign banks that keep working with sanctioned Iranian banks. Under

and , those banks could lose U.S. dollar accounts without advance notice. The notice is a warning, not a new sanction.

Official print

125 removals, 22 updates. Iran-bank warning, not a new designation.

Treasury sb0650, Oct. 5, 2026

Agency

Treasury Department

Monday, October 5, 2026

EveningWhite House release, Oct. 5, 2026; “Tonight”

signed

Confirmed

Past. President Trump signed

on Oct. 5. The order is now in the Federal Register, document 2026-20855, published Oct. 9. If Treasury finds that allows it, drivers can put off the federal highway diesel tax through Dec. 31, with no interest and no penalties. The tax is delayed, not wiped away. No Treasury finding is posted.

Official print

Signed Oct. 5. Tax deferral still depends on a Treasury finding under

.

White House order, Oct. 5, 2026

Agency

White House

Friday, October 2, 2026

8:30 a.m. ETBLS release calendar

Jobs report (Employment Situation)

September 2026

Confirmed

Past. Payrolls +29,000. Unemployment 4.2 percent. Unemployed 7.1 million. July revised to −10,000 and August to +133,000, a combined 60,000 lower. Average hourly earnings $37.81. Workweek 34.4 hours.

Official print

Payrolls +29,000. Unemployment 4.2 percent. Unemployed 7.1 million. July revised from +21,000 to −10,000. August revised from +162,000 to +133,000. Combined, 60,000 lower than previously reported. Average hourly earnings $37.81, up 5 cents (0.1%) and 3.0% over the year. Workweek 34.4 hours. Next release Nov. 6.

BLS Employment Situation — September 2026 (USDL-26-1549)

Agency

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Past prints

Open chart

Latest in series: September 2026 +29,000. PAYEMS

Thursday, October 1, 2026

No clock time stated

Treasury sanctions Iran’s automotive and rail sectors

Confirmed

Past. Treasury sanctioned Iran’s automotive and rail sectors under

. Property of the designated persons is blocked for U.S. persons.

Official print

Automotive and rail sectors added under

. Property blocked for U.S. persons.

Treasury sb0643, Oct. 1, 2026

Agency

U.S. Treasury / OFAC

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

9:00 a.m. ETFederal Reserve Board press release, Sept. 30, 2026

Fed finalizes two stress-test rules

Confirmed

Past. The Board finished two rules that make yearly stress tests more public. Starting in 2028, capital buffers average two years of results. The Board says year-to-year swings in capital requirements should fall by about half.

Official print

Two final rules. Yearly public comment on scenarios and major model changes. From 2028, capital buffers average two years of results. Swings in capital requirements should fall by about half.

Federal Reserve Board, Sept. 30, 2026

Agency

Federal Reserve Board

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

8:30 a.m.BEA news schedule (timezone not labeled)

Personal Income and Outlays (includes consumer spending prices)

August 2026

Confirmed

Past. Personal income rose 0.2 percent in August. Consumer spending rose 0.9 percent. Personal consumption expenditures prices rose 0.3 percent on the month and 3.4 percent from a year earlier. The saving rate was 4.1 percent. Next release Oct. 29.

Official print

Personal income +$66.6 billion (0.2%). Spending +$190.8 billion (0.9%). PCE prices +0.3% from July and +3.4% from a year earlier. Excluding food and energy, +0.2% and +3.0%. Saving rate 4.1%. Next release Oct. 29.

BEA Personal Income and Outlays, August 2026

Agency

Bureau of Economic Analysis

Past prints

Open chart

Latest in series: August 2026 +3.4 percent over 12 months. PCEPI

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

8:30 a.m.BEA news schedule (timezone not labeled)

Gross Domestic Product, third estimate

2nd quarter 2026

Confirmed

Past. Real GDP grew at a 2.2 percent annual rate in the second quarter, revised up from 1.5 percent. First-quarter growth was revised up to 2.5 percent in the same release. Next release Oct. 29.

Official print

Real GDP +2.2% annual rate in Q2 2026, revised up from 1.5%. First quarter revised up to 2.5%. PCE prices +5.0% in the quarter; excluding food and energy, +3.3%. Next release Oct. 29.

BEA third estimate, Sept. 30, 2026

Agency

Bureau of Economic Analysis

Past prints

Open chart

Latest in series: Q2 2026 +2.2 percent annual rate. A191RL1Q225SBEA

Tuesday, September 29, 2026

No clock time stated

Treasury Operation Economic Outcast: Iranian procurement networks

Confirmed

Past. Treasury sanctioned 10 individuals and entities tied to Iranian military procurement under

. The State Department’s related designations are on the politics calendar.

Official print

10 individuals and entities designated under

.

Treasury sb0637, Sept. 29, 2026

Agency

U.S. Treasury / OFAC

Tuesday, September 29, 2026

No clock time stated

Fed Governor Michael S. Barr on economic conditions and monetary policy

Detroit

Confirmed

Past. Governor Michael S. Barr said inflation is still above the 2 percent target and that further policy adjustments are likely in his base case. Unemployment is 4.1 percent. This is one governor’s speech, not a new price index and not a committee vote.

Official print

Speech. Unemployment 4.1 percent. Inflation above the 2 percent target for five and a half years. Further policy adjustments likely in his base case.

Federal Reserve Board, Sept. 29, 2026

Agency

Federal Reserve Board

Tuesday, September 29, 2026

4:00 p.m. ETFederal Reserve joint release, Sept. 29, 2026

Fed and FDIC resolution-plan feedback for 15 banks

October 2025 plans

Confirmed

Past. Regulators found no shortcomings or deficiencies in 15 large banks’ 2025 living wills. BNP Paribas’s 2021 shortcoming was addressed.

Official print

No shortcomings or deficiencies in the 15 plans. BNP Paribas 2021 shortcoming satisfactorily addressed.

Federal Reserve and FDIC, Sept. 29, 2026

Agency

Federal Reserve Board and FDIC

Tuesday, September 29, 2026

10:00 a.m. ETBLS release USDL-26-1547

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey

August 2026

Confirmed

Past. Employers still had about 7.1 million open jobs in August, little changed. Hiring was 5.2 million. Separations were 5.1 million. Quits were 3.1 million. Layoffs and discharges were about 1.6 million. The openings rate was 4.3 percent and the hires rate was 3.3 percent. July openings were revised up by 64,000 to 7.3 million.

Official print

Openings little changed at 7.1 million. Openings rate 4.3%. Hires 5.2 million (rate 3.3%). Separations unchanged at 5.1 million. Quits 3.1 million. Layoffs and discharges about 1.6 million. July openings revised up 64,000 to 7.3 million. Next release Nov. 3, 2026, 10:00 a.m. ET.

BLS USDL-26-1547, Sept. 29, 2026

Agency

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Monday, September 28, 2026

No clock time stated

OFAC amends , 48D, and 49B

Confirmed

Past. The Office of Foreign Assets Control amended

, , and . Each one authorizes a narrow set of activities that Venezuela sanctions would otherwise bar. None of them lifts the broader program.

Official print

Amended

, , and . Narrow exceptions. The broader program stays.

OFAC recent actions, Sept. 28, 2026

Agency

U.S. Treasury / OFAC

Monday, September 28, 2026

No clock time stated

Fed Governor Lisa D. Cook on artificial intelligence and the economy

Confirmed

Past. Governor Lisa D. Cook said artificial-intelligence investment is among the factors keeping inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target, and that she backed September’s quarter-point rate increase. Her inflation figures are estimates in the speech, not a new Consumer Price Index.

Official print

Speech. She voted for the September 25-basis-point increase. Estimated total inflation 3.8 percent and core 3.4 percent into August. Unemployment 4.1 percent in August.

Federal Reserve Board, Sept. 28, 2026

Agency

Federal Reserve Board

Monday, September 28, 2026

No clock time stated

Bessent meeting with Lebanon’s prime minister and finance minister

Confirmed

Past. Secretary Scott Bessent urged Lebanon to disrupt Iranian and Hizballah financial networks and pressed banking reforms. The readout does not list a new designation.

Official print

Readout. Bessent urged Lebanon to disrupt Iranian and Hizballah financial networks.

Treasury sb0635, Sept. 28, 2026

Agency

U.S. Treasury

Sunday, September 27, 2026

9:59 p.m. ETWhite House release datetime 2026-09-27T21:59:36-04:00

U.S.–China Board of Trade working procedures and “30-for-30” product lists

Confirmed

Past. Late Sunday, Sept. 27, 2026, the White House posted

and , plus product lists. The two sides will consider lower tariffs, each way, on lists worth about $30 billion, using 2024 trade. Cuts still have to clear each country’s own legal process. The U.S. list has 77 Harmonized Tariff Schedule lines, opening with fireworks. The China list has 1,619 rows, opening with livestock and meat.

Official print

Posted. Working procedures, “30-for-30” terms, and both product lists. Cuts are not automatic.

White House, Sept. 27, 2026, 9:59 p.m. ET

Agency

The White House

Friday, September 25, 2026

4:30 p.m. EDTFederal Reserve Board press release, Sept. 25, 2026

Fed approval of Peoples Bancorp–Citizens National

Pikeville, Kentucky banking market

Confirmed

Past. The Federal Reserve approved Peoples Bancorp’s merger with Citizens National and the takeover of Citizens Bank of Kentucky. Governor Michael S. Barr dissented, citing concentration in the Pikeville, Kentucky, area.

Official print

Approved. Governor Michael S. Barr dissented. Herfindahl-Hirschman Index up more than 290 points to above 3,100 in the Pikeville area.

Federal Reserve Board order, Sept. 25, 2026

Agency

Federal Reserve Board

Friday, September 25, 2026

10:00 a.m. ETBLS news release USDL-26-1534

Employee benefits

March 2026

Confirmed

Past. In March 2026, 72 percent of private-industry workers could get a retirement benefit and 52 percent took part. State and local government workers: 92 percent access, 81 percent participation. Not a new Consumer Price Index or jobs report.

Official print

Private industry: 72% retirement access, 52% participation. State and local government: 92% access, 81% participation.

BLS USDL-26-1534, Sept. 25, 2026

Agency

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Thursday, September 24, 2026

No clock time stated

Treasury 8-week bill auction

56-day bill

Confirmed

Past. The 56-day bill stopped at a 3.990% high discount rate and a 4.071% investment rate (CUSIP 912797VY0). Sold under the

.

Official print

56-day bill high discount rate 3.990% (investment rate 4.071%). CUSIP 912797VY0. Bid-to-cover 2.76.

TreasuryDirect 56-day bill results, Sept. 24, 2026

Agency

U.S. Department of the Treasury

Thursday, September 24, 2026

No clock time stated

Treasury 7-year note auction

7-year note

Confirmed

Past. The seven-year note stopped at a 5.085% high yield with a 5% coupon (CUSIP 91282CRM5, Series Q-2033). Sold under the

.

Official print

7-year note coupon 5%. High yield 5.085%. Price 99.504596. CUSIP 91282CRM5, Series Q-2033.

TreasuryDirect 7-year note results, Sept. 24, 2026

Agency

U.S. Department of the Treasury

Thursday, September 24, 2026

No clock time stated

Treasury 4-week bill auction

28-day bill

Confirmed

Past. The 28-day bill stopped at a 3.850% high discount rate and a 3.915% investment rate (CUSIP 912797VN4). Sold under the

.

Official print

28-day bill high discount rate 3.850% (investment rate 3.915%). CUSIP 912797VN4. Bid-to-cover 2.61.

TreasuryDirect 28-day bill results, Sept. 24, 2026

Agency

U.S. Department of the Treasury

Thursday, September 24, 2026

No clock time stated

OFAC sanctions penalties rule, Syria license change, and TSRA report

Confirmed

Past. The Office of Foreign Assets Control added the

, amended the , for a Syria license, and released a licensing report covering Iran for April through June 2026.

Official print

Part 505 penalties consolidation. Part 596 Syria license removed and reserved. TSRA report: 11 applications, 18 determinations, April–June 2026.

OFAC recent actions, Sept. 24, 2026

Agency

U.S. Treasury / OFAC

Thursday, September 24, 2026

No clock time stated

Job flexibilities and work schedules

2024–2025

Confirmed

Past. In 2024–25, 57 percent of workers could vary their start and stop times. About 34 percent worked at home at least occasionally. Not a new Consumer Price Index or jobs report.

Official print

Flexible schedules 57%. About 34% (51 million) worked at home at least occasionally. 28% had days worked only at home.

BLS USDL-26-1533, Sept. 24, 2026

Agency

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Thursday, September 24, 2026

2:30 p.m. EDTFederal Reserve Board press release, Sept. 24, 2026

Fed proposals for payment stablecoins under the

Confirmed

Past. The Federal Reserve asked for comment on two proposals under the

, . One covers reserves for Board-supervised payment stablecoin issuers. The other covers bank applications. Comments close 60 days after Federal Register publication. Not a final rule.

Official print

Comment requested. Not a final rule. Comments close 60 days after Federal Register publication.

Federal Reserve Board, Sept. 24, 2026

Agency

Federal Reserve Board

Thursday, September 24, 2026

10:00 a.m. ETBLS news release USDL-26-1532

Employee tenure

January 2026

Confirmed

Past. Median job tenure was 4.1 years in January 2026, up from 3.9 years in January 2024. Men 4.3 years. Women 4.0 years. Not a new Consumer Price Index or jobs report.

Official print

Median tenure 4.1 years in January 2026, up from 3.9 years in January 2024. Men 4.3. Women 4.0.

BLS USDL-26-1532, Sept. 24, 2026

Agency

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Thursday, September 24, 2026

8:30 a.m.BEA news schedule (timezone not labeled)

U.S. International Transactions and Investment Position

2nd quarter 2026

Confirmed

Past. The current-account deficit widened by $33.4 billion, or 15.7 percent, to $246.0 billion in the second quarter. The revised first-quarter deficit was $212.6 billion. The second-quarter deficit was 3.0 percent of current-dollar gross domestic product, up from 2.7 percent. The net international investment position was –$22.42 trillion.

Official print

Current-account deficit $246.0 billion, up $33.4 billion (15.7%). Revised Q1 $212.6 billion. 3.0% of GDP, from 2.7%. Net IIP –$22.42 trillion.

BEA, Sept. 24, 2026

Agency

Bureau of Economic Analysis

Wednesday, September 23, 2026

No clock time stated

Treasury floating-rate note auction

1-year 10-month FRN

Confirmed

Past. The floating-rate note, about 1 year 10 months left, cleared at a 0.040% high discount margin over a 0.050% spread (CUSIP 91282CRD5). Sold under the

.

Official print

Floating-rate note high discount margin 0.040% over a 0.050% spread. CUSIP 91282CRD5.

TreasuryDirect floating-rate note results, Sept. 23, 2026

Agency

U.S. Department of the Treasury

Wednesday, September 23, 2026

No clock time stated

Treasury 5-year note auction

5-year note

Confirmed

Past. The five-year note stopped at a 5.033% high yield with a 5% coupon (CUSIP 91282CRN3). Sold under the

.

Official print

5-year note coupon 5%. High yield 5.033%. CUSIP 91282CRN3.

TreasuryDirect 5-year note results, Sept. 23, 2026

Agency

U.S. Department of the Treasury

Wednesday, September 23, 2026

No clock time stated

OFAC removes François Olenga and Safari Club from the SDN list

Confirmed

Past. The Office of Foreign Assets Control removed François Olenga and the Safari Club from the Specially Designated Nationals list under the Congo program. An

means U.S. persons are no longer generally barred from dealing with those names under that program. The notice does not say why. It is not a new freeze.

Official print

: François Olenga and Safari Club removed. Not a new freeze.

OFAC recent actions, Sept. 23, 2026

Agency

U.S. Treasury / OFAC

Wednesday, September 23, 2026

11:30 a.m. ETTreasury offering announcement, Sept. 22, 2026 (competitive close)

Treasury 17-week bill auction

119-day bill

Confirmed

Past. The 119-day bill (the 17-week slot) stopped at a 4.135% high discount rate and a 4.251% investment rate (CUSIP 912797WR4). Sold under the

.

Official print

119-day bill high discount rate 4.135% (investment rate 4.251%). CUSIP 912797WR4.

TreasuryDirect 119-day bill results, Sept. 23, 2026

Agency

U.S. Department of the Treasury

Tuesday, September 22, 2026

No clock time stated

Treasury deputy: rebuilt auction system in the coming months

Confirmed

Past. Deputy Secretary Francis Brooke said Treasury plans to switch to a rebuilt securities auction system in the coming months, with testing nearly done. He said buybacks have totaled nearly $500 billion across more than 150 operations.

Official print

New auction system planned in the coming months. Buybacks nearly $500 billion across more than 150 operations. No cutover date.

Treasury sb0633, Sept. 22, 2026

Agency

U.S. Department of the Treasury

Tuesday, September 22, 2026

No clock time stated

Treasury 42-day cash-management bill auction

Confirmed

Past. The 42-day cash-management bill stopped out at a 3.870% high discount rate (investment rate 3.942%). About $75 billion accepted. Bid-to-cover 3.03. Sold under the

.

Official print

42-day bill high discount rate 3.870% (investment rate 3.942%). About $75 billion accepted. Bid-to-cover 3.03.

TreasuryDirect 42-day bill results, Sept. 22, 2026

Agency

U.S. Department of the Treasury

Tuesday, September 22, 2026

No clock time stated

Treasury 2-year note auction

Confirmed

Past. The 2-year note stopped out at a 4.787% high yield with a 4-3/4% coupon. About $69 billion accepted. Bid-to-cover 2.63. Sold under the

.

Official print

2-year note coupon 4-3/4%. High yield 4.787%. About $69 billion accepted. Bid-to-cover 2.63.

TreasuryDirect 2-year note results, Sept. 22, 2026

Agency

U.S. Department of the Treasury

Friday, September 18, 2026

No clock time stated

OFAC Ethiopia emergency expiration and

Confirmed

The Office of Foreign Assets Control said the national emergency declared in

on Ethiopia has expired. Ethiopia-related names were removed from the Specially Designated Nationals list, and related frequently asked questions were taken down. Separately, authorizes certain talks and contingent contracts for selling Lukoil International GmbH, plus related maintenance work.

Official print

Ethiopia emergency under

expired. issued for certain Lukoil International GmbH sale talks.

OFAC recent actions, Sept. 18, 2026

Agency

U.S. Treasury / OFAC

Thursday, September 17, 2026

No clock time stated

OFAC BitBank designations (Operation Economic Outcast / )

Confirmed

The Office of Foreign Assets Control blacklisted BitBank, an Iranian digital-asset exchange tied to Babak Zanjani, plus Pishtaz Simorgh Electronic Trade Company and three associates. Treasury says Zanjani used BitBank in June and July 2026 to move hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of Bitcoin to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. U.S. persons’ property of those named is blocked. Authority:

.

Official print

OFAC designated BitBank, Pishtaz Simorgh Electronic Trade Company, and three Zanjani associates under Operation Economic Outcast /

. U.S. persons’ property blocked.

U.S. Treasury sb0632, Sept. 17, 2026

Agency

U.S. Treasury / OFAC

Wednesday, September 16, 2026

8:30 a.m. ETBLS release USDL-26-1514

U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes

August 2026

Confirmed

Released. Import prices +0.7 percent in August after −0.3 percent in July; +7.0 percent over 12 months. Export prices +0.6 percent in August after −1.4 percent in July; +8.6 percent over 12 months. Fuel import prices −0.1 percent in the month, +26.8 percent over 12 months.

Official print

Import prices +0.7% in August, +7.0% over 12 months. Export prices +0.6% after −1.4% in July, +8.6% over 12 months. Fuel imports −0.1% MoM / +26.8% YoY. Next release Oct. 16, 2026, 8:30 a.m. ET.

BLS U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes — August 2026 (USDL-26-1514)

Agency

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Tuesday–Wednesday, September 15–16, 2026

2:00 p.m. and 2:30 p.m. ET on September 16Federal Reserve September 2026 events page

Fed interest-rate decision (FOMC)

Confirmed

Printed. The Federal Open Market Committee raised the federal funds target range by a quarter point to 3¾–4 percent. The vote was 12–0. Interest on reserve balances 3.90 percent and primary credit 4.0 percent, both effective Sept. 17. Summary of Economic Projections median year-end 2026 funds-rate midpoint 4.1 percent (June 3.8). This is the Fed rate decision that printed.

Official print

Raised the federal funds target 25 basis points to 3¾–4 percent. Vote 12–0. Interest on reserve balances 3.90 percent; primary credit 4.0 percent; both effective Sept. 17. SEP median 2026 funds-rate midpoint 4.1 percent (June 3.8); unemployment 4.1; personal consumption expenditures inflation 3.7.

FOMC statement, Sept. 16, 2026

Agency

Federal Reserve

Past prints

Open chart

Latest in series: September 2026 3.75 to 4.00 percent. DFEDTARU

Friday, September 11, 2026

8:30 a.m. ETBLS release calendar

Consumer Price Index

August 2026

Confirmed

Released. CPI-U +0.4 percent in August, seasonally adjusted, after +0.1 percent in July. +3.4 percent over 12 months. Gasoline +3.9 percent in the month, +27.4 percent over 12 months. Energy +2.1 percent in the month, +16.3 percent over 12 months. Shelter +0.3 percent in the month, +3.0 percent over 12 months. Food +0.1 percent in the month, +2.7 percent over the year. Prices excluding food and energy +0.3 percent in August and +2.4 percent over the year (July +0.2 percent / +2.5 percent). Index 334.980 (1982–84=100).

Official print

CPI-U +0.4% in August SA after +0.1% in July; +3.4% over 12 months. Gasoline +3.9% MoM / +27.4% YoY. Energy +2.1% MoM / +16.3% YoY. Shelter +0.3% MoM / +3.0% YoY. Food +0.1% MoM / +2.7% YoY. Ex-food-and-energy +0.3% / +2.4% (July +0.2% / +2.5%). Index 334.980 (1982–84=100). Next CPI Oct. 14, 2026, 8:30 a.m. ET.

BLS Consumer Price Index — August 2026 (USDL-26-1496)

Agency

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Past prints

Open chart

Latest in series: September 2026 +3.7 percent over 12 months. CPIAUCNS

Thursday, September 10, 2026

8:30 a.m. ETBLS PPI release next-date note

Producer Price Index

August 2026

Confirmed

Released. Final demand +0.4 percent in August, +5.4 percent over 12 months. Goods +1.1 percent. Energy +4.2 percent. Diesel fuel +24.1 percent. Final demand less foods, energy, and trade services +0.3 percent / +4.7 percent over the year.

Official print

Final demand +0.4% in August, +5.4% over 12 months. Goods +1.1%. Energy +4.2%. Diesel +24.1%. Core less foods, energy, and trade +0.3% / +4.7% YoY. Next PPI Oct. 15, 2026, 8:30 a.m. ET.

BLS Producer Price Indexes — August 2026 (USDL 26-1495)

Agency

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Wednesday, September 9, 2026

10:00 a.m. ETBLS prior ECEC release next-date note

Employer Costs for Employee Compensation

June 2026

Confirmed

Released. Civilian workers $49.46 an hour in June 2026. Wages $33.85. Benefits $15.61. Private industry $46.89 ($32.82 wages, $14.07 benefits). State and local government $66.45 ($40.67 wages, $25.78 benefits).

Official print

Civilian $49.46 an hour (wages $33.85, benefits $15.61). Private industry $46.89. State and local government $66.45. Next ECEC Dec. 16, 2026, 10 a.m. ET.

BLS Employer Costs for Employee Compensation — June 2026

Agency

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Friday, September 4, 2026

8:30 a.m. ETBLS release calendar

Jobs report (Employment Situation)

August 2026

Confirmed

Released. First print +162,000 payrolls; unemployment 4.1%. The Oct. 2 release revised the August payroll change to +133,000.

Official print

+162,000 payrolls as first reported; unemployment 4.1%. Unemployed 7.0 million. Participation 61.6%. Average hourly earnings $37.75, up 10 cents (0.3%) and 3.1% over the year. The Oct. 2, 2026 release revised this August payroll change from +162,000 to +133,000.

BLS Employment Situation — August 2026

Agency

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Past prints

Open chart

Latest in series: September 2026 +29,000. PAYEMS

Thursday, September 3, 2026

10:00 a.m. ETISM July 2026 Services PMI press release (PR Newswire)

Institute for Supply Management services index

August 2026

Confirmed

Services index 55.4, up 1.3 from July 54.1. 26th month of expansion. Employment 47.8, still contracting. Prices 72.6.

Official print

Services PMI 55.4, up 1.3 from July’s 54.1. Business Activity 61.7. New Orders 60.9. Employment 47.8 (second month of contraction). Prices 72.6, highest since August 2022. Next print Oct. 5, 10:00 a.m. ET.

ISM Services PMI Report AUGUST 2026 (PR Newswire)

Agency

Institute for Supply Management

Thursday, September 3, 2026

8:30 a.m.BEA news schedule (timezone not labeled)

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services

July 2026

Confirmed

July goods-and-services deficit $88.6 billion, up $17.4 billion from revised June $71.2 billion.

Official print

July goods and services deficit $88.6 billion, up $17.4 billion from revised June $71.2 billion. Exports $310.7 billion (−2.1%). Imports $399.3 billion (+2.8%). Goods deficit $119.6 billion. Services surplus $31.0 billion. Next print Oct. 6 (August data).

BEA 26–40 / CB 26–142, Sept. 3, 2026

Agency

Bureau of Economic Analysis

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

2:00 p.m.Federal Reserve September 2026 events page

Beige Book

Confirmed

Activity increased modestly since early July. Ten of twelve Districts slight-to-moderate growth; two no change.

Official print

Economic activity increased modestly since early July. Ten of twelve Districts reported slight-to-moderate growth; two reported no change. Employment rose very slightly. Prices increased moderately in eight Districts.

Beige Book PDF, Sept. 2, 2026 (August 2026 cycle)

Agency

Federal Reserve

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

10:00 a.m. EDTCensus s-i-o.pdf / CB26-135

Census manufacturers’ shipments, inventories, and orders

July 2026

Confirmed

July new orders +0.9% to $663.6 billion. Shipments $658.8 billion. Unfilled $1,600.3 billion. Inventories $966.9 billion.

Official print

July new orders $663.6 billion, up 0.9% ($5.8 billion) after a 0.2% June decrease. Shipments $658.8 billion (+0.8%). Unfilled orders $1,600.3 billion (+0.6%), ratio 6.81 from 6.84. Inventories $966.9 billion (+0.4%), I/S 1.47 unchanged. Next full M3: Oct. 2, 10:00 a.m. EDT. Advance durable goods (August): Sept. 25, 8:30 a.m. EDT.

Census CB26-135, Sept. 2, 2026

Agency

U.S. Census Bureau

Tuesday, September 1, 2026

10:00 a.m. EDTCensus CB26-140

Monthly Construction Spending

July 2026

Confirmed

Total $2,157.6 billion at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, 0.5% (±0.8%)* below revised June $2,167.7 billion. Census does not call the total month-to-month change statistically significant.

Official print

July construction spending $2,157.6 billion SAAR, 0.5% (±0.8%)* below revised June $2,167.7 billion. The m/m total interval includes zero; not called statistically significant. Private $1,614.2 billion (−0.5% ±0.3%). Next print Oct. 1.

Census CB26-140, Sept. 1, 2026

Agency

U.S. Census Bureau