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Thursday, October 15, 2026

The File

Every claim traces to a primary source. Uncertainty is labeled. Corrections are public.

Economy calendar/Official series

Real GDP, percent change from the prior quarter at an annual rate

Real Gross Domestic Product. Issued by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (National Income and Product Accounts), republished as FRED A191RL1Q225SBEA. Retrieved Thursday, October 15, 2026. Not a forecast.

+2.2 percent annual rateLatest observation · Q2 2026

-1.63.07.62021-012023-102026-04

Checked Thursday, Oct. 15, 2026. September 2026 was appended to the not-seasonally-adjusted consumer price index (CPIAUCNS) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics public data API, series CUUR0000SA0: 2026-09-01 = 336.94. The September release, USDL-26-1574, prints that index as 336.940. August on this card was already 334.98 and was not rewritten. The St. Louis Fed graph download did not return. Payrolls were re-checked on bureau series CES0000000001: September 2026 remains 159044 and August remains 159015. Those observations were not rewritten. Unemployment and the effective federal funds rate live on the rates, jobs, and prices chart. The federal-funds graph file did not return. No October federal-funds value was entered. Next consumer price index: Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2026, 8:30 a.m. Eastern.

Recent official observations

PeriodAnnual rate
Q2 2026+2.2 percent annual rate
Q1 2026+2.1 percent annual rate
Q4 2025+0.5 percent annual rate
Q3 2025+4.4 percent annual rate
Q2 2025+3.8 percent annual rate
Q1 2025−0.6 percent annual rate
Q4 2024+1.9 percent annual rate
Q3 2024+3.3 percent annual rate

On this calendar

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