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Thursday, October 15, 2026

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Every claim traces to a primary source. Uncertainty is labeled. Corrections are public.

Economy calendar/Official series

PCE price index, 12-month change

Personal Consumption Expenditures: Chain-type Price Index. Issued by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (Personal Income and Outlays), republished as FRED PCEPI. Retrieved Thursday, October 15, 2026. Not a forecast.

+3.4 percent over 12 monthsLatest observation · August 2026

1.14.47.72021-012023-112026-08

Checked Thursday, Oct. 15, 2026. September 2026 was appended to the not-seasonally-adjusted consumer price index (CPIAUCNS) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics public data API, series CUUR0000SA0: 2026-09-01 = 336.94. The September release, USDL-26-1574, prints that index as 336.940. August on this card was already 334.98 and was not rewritten. The St. Louis Fed graph download did not return. Payrolls were re-checked on bureau series CES0000000001: September 2026 remains 159044 and August remains 159015. Those observations were not rewritten. Unemployment and the effective federal funds rate live on the rates, jobs, and prices chart. The federal-funds graph file did not return. No October federal-funds value was entered. Next consumer price index: Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2026, 8:30 a.m. Eastern.

Recent official observations

Period12-month change
August 2026+3.4 percent over 12 months
July 2026+3.7 percent over 12 months
June 2026+3.7 percent over 12 months
May 2026+4.1 percent over 12 months
April 2026+3.8 percent over 12 months
March 2026+3.5 percent over 12 months
February 2026+2.9 percent over 12 months
January 2026+2.9 percent over 12 months

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