Safety · Sunday, October 11, 2026
Hurricane Simon, a Category 4, is at the coast of west-central Mexico
Added 8:35 a.m. ET, Oct. 11
The File desk · Oct 11, 2026, 12:35 PM UTC
Status
Confirmed. Figures come from the U.S. National Hurricane Center's 6 a.m. Central intermediate advisory 16A and discussion 16, read on nhc.noaa.gov. This desk did not open Mexico's national weather service pages.
- Confirmed
At 6 a.m. Central (8 a.m. Eastern), Simon's eyewall was very near the coast, about 60 miles west of Manzanillo, with top winds near 150 mph, moving north-northwest at 6 mph (advisory 16A).
- Confirmed
A hurricane warning covers Punta San Telmo to El Roblito and Las Islas Marías (advisory 16).
- Confirmed
The center expects catastrophic wind and life-threatening storm surge along part of the west-central coast, and 10 to 20 more inches of rain, up to 30 inches in spots, in parts of Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco (advisory and discussion 16).
Hurricane Simon's eyewall reached the coast of west-central Mexico early Sunday with winds near 150 mph, the U.S. National Hurricane Center says. That is Category 4 strength. The center expects catastrophic wind and life-threatening flooding from the sea along part of the coast, and rain heavy enough to cause deadly floods and mudslides.
At 8 a.m. Eastern, Simon was about 60 miles west of Manzanillo, crawling north-northwest at 6 mph. Forecasters said it was too close to call whether the center would come ashore or ride just along the coast. Either way, they expect dangerous wind, surge and rain in the hurricane warning area today. That warning runs from Punta San Telmo to El Roblito and includes the Islas Marías.
Rain may be the widest threat. The center forecasts 10 to 20 more inches over parts of southwestern Mexico, and as much as 30 inches in spots across Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco through Monday, especially in steep terrain.
Simon should weaken as it rubs against land, and could fall apart quickly if its core moves fully inland. The center calls its forecast very low confidence. The U.S. center tells people in Mexico to follow their national weather service for local warnings.
What is still unknown or disputed
- Whether Simon's center comes ashore, and where.
- Damage and casualties. Reports from Mexico were not yet available to this desk.
Primary sources
Every claim in this story is drawn from the documents below. If a fetch failed, that is recorded on the card.
Source 1
Hurricane Simon Advisory Number 16
National Hurricane Center (NOAA) · October 11, 2026
...EYEWALL OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE SIMON VERY NEAR THE COAST OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2026/ep20/ep202026.public.016.shtml
Source 2
Hurricane Simon Discussion Number 16
National Hurricane Center (NOAA) · October 11, 2026
it is simply too close to call whether landfall will occur
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2026/ep20/ep202026.discus.016.shtml
Source 3
Hurricane Simon Intermediate Advisory Number 16A
National Hurricane Center (NOAA) · October 11, 2026
...CORE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE VERY NEAR THE COAST OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2026/ep20/ep202026.public_a.016.shtml