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Friday, October 16, 2026

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Safety · Friday, October 16, 2026

Guam and Rota are now under a typhoon warning as Tropical Storm Champi strengthens; the forecast takes it close to or over Guam on Sunday morning

Added 7:35 a.m. ET, Oct. 16

The File desk · Oct 16, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC

Status

Confirmed. The warning upgrade is the National Weather Service Tiyan local statement issued at 4:11 p.m. Chamorro Standard Time Friday (2:11 a.m. Eastern). The position, strength, and track are Tiyan Advisory Number 8, issued at 7:08 p.m. Chamorro Standard Time Friday (5:08 a.m. Eastern). The readiness level and expected hazards are Guam’s Joint Information Center Release No. 1, posted at 1 p.m. Chamorro Standard Time Friday (11 p.m. Eastern Thursday). That release was written before the upgrade and still lists a Typhoon Watch. Thursday’s story used Guam Homeland Security Public Advisory No. 2 and Tiyan Advisory Number 4.

  • Confirmed

    A Typhoon Warning is in effect for Guam, Rota, and nearby waters. A Tropical Storm Warning and a Typhoon Watch are in effect for Tinian and Saipan. A Flood Watch covers all of Guam and the Northern Marianas (Tiyan local statement, 4:11 p.m. ChST).

  • Confirmed

    At 7 p.m. ChST, Champi was near 11.6 north, 152.1 east, about 510 miles east-southeast of Guam, with winds near 60 mph, moving west at 13 mph. It could become a typhoon Saturday morning, and the track takes it close to, or over, Guam Sunday morning (Advisory Number 8).

  • Confirmed

    Governor Lourdes A. Leon Guerrero placed Guam in Condition of Readiness 2 effective 1 p.m. Friday; Joint Region Marianas declared the military’s matching readiness level 2 at about 1 p.m. (Joint Information Center Release No. 1).

The National Weather Service office on Guam has raised a Typhoon Warning for Guam and Rota: typhoon winds of 74 mph or more are expected by Sunday morning, with tropical-storm winds arriving Saturday night. Tinian and Saipan are under a Tropical Storm Warning and a Typhoon Watch. At 7 p.m. Chamorro Standard Time on Friday, Champi was a tropical storm about 510 miles east-southeast of Guam with winds near 60 mph, moving west at 13 mph, and forecasters say it could become a typhoon Saturday morning. Guam’s governor raised the island to Condition of Readiness 2 at 1 p.m. Friday.

Thursday’s story had a Typhoon Watch and Tropical Depression Champi (29W) about 895 miles east of Guam, with winds near 35 mph. At 4:11 p.m. Chamorro Standard Time Friday (2:11 a.m. Eastern), the National Weather Service in Tiyan issued a Typhoon Warning for Guam, Rota, and the nearby waters, and a Tropical Storm Warning for Tinian, Saipan, and their waters. A Typhoon Watch continues for Tinian and Saipan. A Flood Watch covers all of Guam and the Northern Marianas.

What the warnings mean. A Typhoon Warning means typhoon conditions, including winds of 74 mph or more, are expected by Sunday morning, with tropical-storm-force winds arriving Saturday night. For Tinian and Saipan, a Tropical Storm Warning with a Typhoon Watch means winds of 39 to 73 mph are expected by Saturday night, and typhoon-force winds are possible if Champi’s track shifts far enough north.

Where it is. Advisory Number 8, issued at 7:08 p.m. Chamorro Standard Time Friday (5:08 a.m. Eastern), put the center at 7 p.m. near latitude 11.6 north, longitude 152.1 east: about 510 miles east-southeast of Guam, about 495 miles east-southeast of Rota and Tinian, and about 490 miles east-southeast of Saipan. Top winds had increased to 60 mph. Champi was moving west at 13 mph and is expected to turn slightly west-northwest and speed up a little through Saturday. The weather service says that track takes Champi close to, or over, Guam Sunday morning. Tropical-storm-force winds reach up to 100 miles from the center.

How strong. The advisory says Champi should keep strengthening over the next few days and could become a typhoon Saturday morning. The 4:11 p.m. local statement says forecasters expect a period of rapid strengthening, and that wind and rain will come in fast and turn dangerous soon after they start. It tells residents: “Do not let a false sense of normalcy now dictate your actions tomorrow; prepare NOW!” An earlier Guam Homeland Security advisory, from 7:30 a.m. Friday, relayed a weather service forecast of a pass very near or over Guam late Sunday morning as a Category 2 typhoon, and warned that faster strengthening could bring a stronger storm.

What to expect. Guam’s Joint Information Center, citing the weather service, says tropical-storm winds should begin Saturday evening, with typhoon-force winds possible Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon, and the possibility of at least extensive damage somewhere in Guam and the Northern Marianas. Surf could build to a dangerous 15 to 20 feet by Sunday morning. Storm surge could flood low ground by 2 to 3 feet, possibly more near the center, and waves could run up as high as 12 feet. Rain totals of 6 to 12 inches are possible.

Readiness. Governor Lourdes A. Leon Guerrero put Guam in Condition of Readiness 2 at 1 p.m. Friday, and the joint information center is partly activated. Joint Region Marianas, the military command on the islands, declared its own readiness level 2 at about 1 p.m. Officials urge people in metal-roof or container homes, storm-surge zones, or flood-prone areas to find a safer place to stay now, such as a sturdy home of family or friends, and to follow official announcements about shelters and evacuations.

What is still unknown or disputed

Primary sources

Every claim in this story is drawn from the documents below. If a fetch failed, that is recorded on the card.

  1. Source 1

    Tropical Storm Champi (29W) Advisory Number 8

    National Weather Service Tiyan, Guam (NOAA) · October 16, 2026

    708 PM ChST Fri Oct 16 2026. A Typhoon Warning remains in effect for Guam, Rota, and the adjacent waters. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Tinian, Saipan, and the adjacent waters. Location...11.6N 152.1E. About 510 miles east-southeast of Guam. Maximum sustained winds...60 mph. Present movement...west...275 degrees at 13 mph. This general forecast track will take Champi close to, or over, Guam Sunday morning. ... possibly becoming a typhoon Saturday morning. This weather-service file is replaced with each new advisory.

    https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtpq32.pgum.tcp.pq2.txt

  2. Source 2

    Tropical Storm Champi (29W) Local Statement

    National Weather Service Tiyan, Guam (NOAA) · October 16, 2026

    411 PM ChST Fri Oct 16 2026. A Typhoon Warning has been issued for Guam, Rota, and the adjacent waters. A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Tinian, Saipan, and the adjacent waters. A Typhoon Watch continues for Tinian and Saipan. A Flood Watch is in effect for all of Guam and the Northern Marianas. Do not let a false sense of normalcy now dictate your actions tomorrow; prepare NOW! This weather-service file is replaced with each new statement.

    https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtpq82.pgum.hls.pq2.txt

  3. Source 3

    JIC Release No. 1 - JIC Partially Activated; Guam in COR 2; Typhoon Watch in Effect for Tropical Storm Champi

    Guam Homeland Security / Office of Civil Defense · October 16, 2026

    Posted 10/16/2026 01:00 pm. Governor Lourdes A. Leon Guerrero placed the island in Condition of Readiness (COR) 2, effective 1:00 p.m. today. ... Joint Region Marianas and its installations declared Tropical Cyclone Condition of Readiness (TCCOR) 2 at approximately 1 p.m. ... NWS advises of the possibility of at least extensive damage somewhere within Guam and the Northern Marianas. ... storm surge inundation of 2 to 3 feet is possible. Wave runup ... could be as high as 12 feet. Rainfall totals of 6 to 12 inches are possible.

    https://ghs.guam.gov/jic-release-no-1-jic-partially-activated-guam-cor-2-typhoon-watch-effect-tropical-storm-champi

  4. Source 4

    Public Advisory No. 3 Champi Forecast to Pass Near Guam Sunday as a Category 2 Typhoon; Flood Watch Issued

    Guam Homeland Security / Office of Civil Defense · October 16, 2026

    As currently forecast, Champi will pass very near, or over, Guam late Sunday morning as a Category 2 typhoon. NWS cautions that the track could still shift farther north or south, and that if rapid intensification occurs sooner and more rapidly than anticipated, the Marianas could see a stronger typhoon.

    https://ghs.guam.gov/public-advisory-no-3-champi-forecast-pass-near-guam-sunday-category-2-typhoon-flood-watch-issued